value vs adp / snapshot 13 August 2026
Where they
disagree
Two crowds price the same 199 players and they do not agree. Below is every place the trade market and the draft room are furthest apart, with both numbers on screen. We are not going to tell you who is right — that is the part you are better at than we are.
What the two numbers are
Our number is where a player ranks by what they actually cost in real trades. The room's number is where they go in mock drafts. Both are markets - so this is two crowds disagreeing, and which one you side with is your call to make.
The gap is worth knowing because the room is often slow to reprice a player the trade market has already moved on. It is one honest comparison between two named sources, not a forecast. Neither column is the answer.
The inputs
199
players priced
177
with a mock-draft number to compare
89%
market coverage of the board
redraft-1qb-1ppr-12tm
board format
Our side is rank by real trade cost. The room’s side is FFC redraft ADP, drawn from 2026-08-06 → 2026-08-13 · 6160 mock drafts. The snapshot is dated so you can see the inputs we actually used rather than the ones we have today. 22 of these players have no mock-draft number at all, so there is nothing to compare them against. They are counted here rather than dropped — hiding the players the market does not cover would overstate how much of the board this page actually speaks to.
The 24 widest gaps
2026-08-06 → 2026-08-13 · 6160 mock drafts
Wan'Dale Robinson
trade value 132 · mock drafts 73.4
-59
pricier in drafts
Xavier Worthy
trade value 160 · mock drafts 106.5
-53
pricier in drafts
Alec Pierce
trade value 108 · mock drafts 56.2
-52
pricier in drafts
Caleb Williams
trade value 58 · mock drafts 105.5
+48
cheaper in drafts
Jordan Love
trade value 104 · mock drafts 148.0
+44
cheaper in drafts
Khalil Shakir
trade value 145 · mock drafts 101.4
-44
pricier in drafts
George Kittle
trade value 71 · mock drafts 114.2
+43
cheaper in drafts
Justin Herbert
trade value 61 · mock drafts 103.8
+43
cheaper in drafts
Tyler Allgeier
trade value 124 · mock drafts 165.5
+42
cheaper in drafts
Jakobi Meyers
trade value 118 · mock drafts 77.2
-41
pricier in drafts
Tucker Kraft
trade value 66 · mock drafts 106.7
+41
cheaper in drafts
Zach Charbonnet
trade value 99 · mock drafts 139.1
+40
cheaper in drafts
Cam Ward
trade value 136 · mock drafts 174.2
+38
cheaper in drafts
Cooper Kupp
trade value 197 · mock drafts 160.5
-36
pricier in drafts
Alvin Kamara
trade value 100 · mock drafts 136.2
+36
cheaper in drafts
Jerry Jeudy
trade value 170 · mock drafts 135.1
-35
pricier in drafts
Romeo Doubs
trade value 150 · mock drafts 115.5
-34
pricier in drafts
Patrick Mahomes
trade value 65 · mock drafts 98.2
+33
cheaper in drafts
Dalton Schultz
trade value 193 · mock drafts 160.3
-33
pricier in drafts
Rashee Rice
trade value 45 · mock drafts 12.4
-33
pricier in drafts
Adonai Mitchell
trade value 194 · mock drafts 162.2
-32
pricier in drafts
Brian Robinson
trade value 134 · mock drafts 165.1
+31
cheaper in drafts
Kimani Vidal
trade value 196 · mock drafts 165.2
-31
pricier in drafts
Blake Corum
trade value 92 · mock drafts 122.3
+30
cheaper in drafts
Green means the trade market ranks them higher than mock drafts take them. Red means the opposite. The number is the size of the disagreement in picks — not a recommendation, and not a projection of where anyone will actually go.
Take it into a draft
Open the draft board on your phone and it shows you the same gap live, pick by pick, as your room drafts — from any league host, whether or not we can read it.