One room.
Every football decision.

Decision context

A format-aware estimate of a player's long-horizon roster value.

Use: Compare roster needs and trade prices without treating consensus as truth.

Decision context

The disagreement between the model and a permissioned market benchmark.

Use: Find players worth deeper review; not an automatic trade signal.

Decision context

How much usable scoring a player adds above a waiver-level option.

Use: Compare positions on the same lineup-value scale.

Decision context

A range of plausible weekly fantasy outcomes instead of one brittle point estimate.

Use: Balance lineup safety and upside.

Decision context

The estimated matchup impact of a start/sit decision.

Use: Rank close lineup calls by actual matchup leverage.

Decision context

How likely the current opportunity is to persist.

Use: Separate sustainable value from fragile short-term production.

Decision context

A distribution-aware rookie outcome estimate.

Use: Compare rookies with veterans and future picks.

Decision context

How league settings change positional leverage.

Use: Prevent one-size-fits-all rankings.

Decision context

Down-, distance-, field-position-, and score-aware efficiency.

Use: Compare player and offense efficiency beyond raw yards.

Decision context

How consistently an offense or player keeps drives on schedule.

Use: Distinguish steady efficiency from a few explosive plays.

Decision context

Quarterback completion performance adjusted for throw difficulty.

Use: Evaluate passing accuracy in context.

Decision context

How often quarterback pressure becomes a sack.

Use: Price matchup and quarterback pocket-management risk.

Decision context

Rushing output relative to blocking, defenders, location, and speed context.

Use: Separate runner contribution from environment where approved tracking data exists.

Decision context

Contact-balance production independent of untouched running lanes.

Use: Evaluate rushing sustainability and tackle-breaking style.

Decision context

How often a player earns a target while actually in the pattern.

Use: Detect demand before box-score volume catches up.

Decision context

Receiving efficiency on every route, not only targets.

Use: Compare pass catchers with different snap and target totals.

Decision context

A role-volume signal that weights touches by fantasy importance.

Use: Find workload changes before touchdowns distort perception.

Decision context

How aggressively a team chooses to pass after situation adjustment.

Use: Project team-level opportunity and game-script sensitivity.

Decision context

A residual that controls for defensive and situational difficulty.

Use: Avoid overreacting to raw production against extreme opponents.

Decision context

How a player's demonstrated strengths fit the current offensive design.

Use: Translate coordinator and role changes into explicit projection adjustments.

Decision context

A matchup rating that controls for schedule and small samples.

Use: Improve weekly ranges without using simplistic fantasy-points-allowed tables.

Decision context

An independent projection comparable to a sportsbook line.

Use: Establish the model side before looking at price.

Decision context

The market's central threshold after stale and duplicate quotes are removed.

Use: Compare books and detect outlier lines.

Decision context

How the market threshold changed through time.

Use: Track news response and price discovery.

Decision context

Bookmaker margin removed from a complete market.

Use: Compare model probability with a fairer market baseline.

Decision context

The probability disagreement after removing the book margin.

Use: Rank research opportunities while retaining uncertainty and price sensitivity.

Decision context

The model's average theoretical return per unit at the quoted price.

Use: Compare opportunities on a common price-aware scale; estimates can be wrong.

Decision context

The uncertainty around the projection, including role and game-environment variance.

Use: Avoid treating a small edge as meaningful when uncertainty is wide.

Decision context

Whether an earlier decision beat the final market, independent of the result.

Use: Evaluate process quality over a meaningful sample.

Decision context

An independent probability for the game outcome.

Use: Connect team expectations to player workload and scoring environment.

Decision context

A range of scoring environments rather than a single total.

Use: Stress-test touchdowns, attempts, and game-script assumptions.

Decision context

American futures odds translated into a probability-like number before margin removal.

Use: Make prices comparable across teams and markets.

Decision context

A normalized probability estimate after removing market overround.

Use: Compare Super Bowl, conference, division, playoff, award, and win-total prices fairly.

Decision context

The price corresponding to DraftADynasty's estimated probability.

Use: Expose model-market disagreement in both probability and familiar odds form.

Decision context

A decomposed route to winning the championship.

Use: Explain why a title probability moves instead of showing a black-box number.

Decision context

A data-quality check across playoffs, division, conference, and Super Bowl estimates.

Use: Catch incoherent forecasts before publication.

Decision context

The full range behind a team win projection.

Use: Connect futures, schedule strength, and fantasy playoff environments.

Decision context

The market-implied probability for a binary football outcome.

Use: Track collective expectations without confusing display price with executable price.

Decision context

The prices available to sell or buy at the top of the book.

Use: Show executable context around the headline probability.

Decision context

The immediate cost and uncertainty between buyers and sellers.

Use: Identify markets where the displayed probability is less trustworthy or costly to execute.

Decision context

How much size the market can absorb near the current price.

Use: Compare liquidity beyond one top-of-book quote.

Decision context

The price impact of moving through the order book.

Use: Prevent headline prices from overstating practical liquidity.

Decision context

How much activity occurred, with units and window kept explicit.

Use: Distinguish active price discovery from a thin market.

Decision context

Unsettled exposure still open in the market.

Use: Measure participation without equating it to recent trading activity.

Decision context

How stale the displayed order-book state may be.

Use: Fail closed or warn when market data misses freshness targets.

Decision context

The gap between DraftADynasty and a sufficiently liquid market.

Use: Surface research questions while down-weighting stale or wide markets.