47 metric formulas, meanings, uses, sources and availability states. Planned metrics are definitions, not measured results.
Source date: 2026-09-04 · time unavailable
Original capture date; opening or downloading does not refresh the source. Per-record timestamps take precedence. Definitions may describe unavailable inputs.
American futures odds translated into a probability-like number before margin removal.
decision
Make prices comparable across teams and markets.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"licensed_odds"
]
freshness
Target 5 minutes
availability
planned
tier
free
licensed Provider Required
true
No-vig futures probability
id
futures-fair-probability
label
No-vig futures probability
category
futures
formula
Outcome implied probability / sum across mutually exclusive outcomes
meaning
A normalized probability estimate after removing market overround.
decision
Compare Super Bowl, conference, division, playoff, award, and win-total prices fairly.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"licensed_odds"
]
freshness
Target 5 minutes
availability
planned
tier
pro
licensed Provider Required
true
Model fair odds
id
model-fair-odds
label
Model fair odds
category
futures
formula
American-odds conversion of calibrated model probability
meaning
The price corresponding to DraftADynasty's estimated probability.
decision
Expose model-market disagreement in both probability and familiar odds form.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"nflverse"
]
freshness
Daily; after material news
availability
planned
tier
elite
licensed Provider Required
false
Super Bowl path probability
id
title-path
label
Super Bowl path probability
category
futures
formula
P(make playoffs) × conditional probabilities through conference and title rounds
meaning
A decomposed route to winning the championship.
decision
Explain why a title probability moves instead of showing a black-box number.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"nflverse"
]
freshness
Daily
availability
research_only
tier
elite
licensed Provider Required
false
Probability-tree consistency
id
probability-tree-check
label
Probability-tree consistency
category
futures
formula
Validate nested and mutually exclusive probabilities against logical constraints
meaning
A data-quality check across playoffs, division, conference, and Super Bowl estimates.
decision
Catch incoherent forecasts before publication.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"nflverse"
]
freshness
Every model run
availability
planned
tier
free
licensed Provider Required
false
Season win distribution
id
season-win-distribution
label
Season win distribution
category
futures
formula
Simulated probability for each regular-season win total
meaning
The full range behind a team win projection.
decision
Connect futures, schedule strength, and fantasy playoff environments.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"nflverse"
]
freshness
Daily
availability
planned
tier
pro
licensed Provider Required
false
Market probability
id
contract-probability
label
Market probability
category
prediction_markets
formula
Polymarket's published primary-outcome probability
meaning
The crowd's current probability for a football outcome.
decision
Track outside expectations without treating the market as the DraftADynasty forecast.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"polymarket"
]
freshness
Cached for up to 5 minutes
availability
live
tier
free
licensed Provider Required
false
Probability movement
id
probability-movement
label
Probability movement
category
prediction_markets
formula
Current probability - the provider's prior 1-hour, 1-day, 1-week, or 1-month probability
meaning
How quickly the outside consensus is moving as information changes.
decision
Flag player and team assumptions that deserve a fresh review before slower rankings catch up.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"polymarket"
]
freshness
Cached for up to 5 minutes
availability
live
tier
free
licensed Provider Required
false
Best bid / ask
id
best-bid-ask
label
Best bid / ask
category
prediction_markets
formula
Highest published bid and lowest published ask
meaning
The prices on either side of the current market.
decision
Show how much agreement sits around the headline probability.
source Refs
Inspect source Refs (1)
[
"polymarket"
]
freshness
Cached for up to 5 minutes
availability
live
tier
free
licensed Provider Required
false
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