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Candidate signal families

332 data points · 10 fields

Source date unavailable

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21 matches · 1–20 shown. Each record keeps all its stats together. Filters are saved in this page’s address.

Record 1

signal id: identity_and_development_curve
research priority: high
causal channel: slow_prior_constrains_development_and_durability
correlation group: slow_player_prior

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: identity_and_development_curve
research priority: high
causal channel: slow_prior_constrains_development_and_durability
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "collegefootballdata_api" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "career_value" ]
correlation group: slow_player_prior
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: unknown_with_coverage
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "rolling_origin", "rookie_veteran_cohorts", "position_cohorts", "ablation", "identity_leakage" ]

Record 2

signal id: active_and_workload_probability
research priority: critical
causal channel: availability_precedes_opportunity_and_efficiency
correlation group: availability

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: active_and_workload_probability
research priority: critical
causal channel: availability_precedes_opportunity_and_efficiency
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "official_nfl_injury_reports", "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "nflverse_depth_charts" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: availability
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: silence_not_healthy
required tests: Inspect required tests (6)
[ "brier", "log_loss", "calibration", "injury_status_cohorts", "late_news_cutoff", "ablation" ]

Record 3

signal id: snap_route_touch_opportunity
research priority: critical
causal channel: direct_opportunity_precedes_counting_stats
correlation group: player_opportunity

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: snap_route_touch_opportunity
research priority: critical
causal channel: direct_opportunity_precedes_counting_stats
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "ffopportunity_expected_points" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season" ]
correlation group: player_opportunity
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: explicit_imputation_and_coverage
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "temporal_holdout", "opportunity_cohorts", "conversion_residual_ablation", "calibration", "correlated_family_ablation" ]

Record 4

signal id: high_value_role
research priority: high
causal channel: touch_context_changes_td_and_reception_opportunity
correlation group: player_opportunity

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: high_value_role
research priority: high
causal channel: touch_context_changes_td_and_reception_opportunity
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "ffopportunity_expected_points" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season" ]
correlation group: player_opportunity
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: absent_not_zero
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "ablation", "role_change_cohorts", "touchdown_calibration", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 5

signal id: expected_points_and_conversion_residual
research priority: high
causal channel: opportunity_quality_separates_volume_from_conversion
correlation group: expected_production

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: expected_points_and_conversion_residual
research priority: high
causal channel: opportunity_quality_separates_volume_from_conversion
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "ffopportunity_expected_points", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "dynasty_value" ]
correlation group: expected_production
initial state: shadow_candidate
missingness policy: absent_not_zero
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "out_of_sample_residual_persistence", "regression_to_mean", "position_cohorts", "ablation" ]

Record 6

signal id: quarterback_quality_and_behavior
research priority: critical
causal channel: qb_state_propagates_to_team_and_teammates
correlation group: quarterback_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: quarterback_quality_and_behavior
research priority: critical
causal channel: qb_state_propagates_to_team_and_teammates
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "official_nfl_injury_reports" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: quarterback_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: probability_weight_starter_backup
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "qb_start_cohorts", "pressure_cohorts", "backup_delta_ablation", "game_probability_calibration" ]

Record 7

signal id: offensive_line_and_pressure_environment
research priority: high
causal channel: protection_changes_pressure_sack_rush_and_drive_outcomes
correlation group: line_matchup

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: offensive_line_and_pressure_environment
research priority: high
causal channel: protection_changes_pressure_sack_rush_and_drive_outcomes
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "nflverse_ftn_charting" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: line_matchup
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: fallback_proxy_lower_confidence
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "interaction_ablation", "pressure_sack_decomposition", "lineup_change_cohorts", "coverage_stability" ]

Record 8

signal id: team_efficiency_pace_and_play_calling
research priority: critical
causal channel: team_efficiency_and_pace_create_opportunity_distribution
correlation group: team_efficiency

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: team_efficiency_pace_and_play_calling
research priority: critical
causal channel: team_efficiency_and_pace_create_opportunity_distribution
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "team_game", "player_week", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: team_efficiency
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: shrink_to_declared_prior
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "opponent_adjustment", "rolling_origin", "early_season_cohorts", "market_baseline_comparison", "ablation" ]

Record 9

signal id: personnel_motion_and_scheme
research priority: medium
causal channel: tactics_change_leverage_and_role_conditionally
correlation group: scheme_tactics

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: personnel_motion_and_scheme
research priority: medium
causal channel: tactics_change_leverage_and_role_conditionally
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: scheme_tactics
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: consistent_coverage_only
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "concept_matchup_ablation", "coordinator_change_cohorts", "coverage_threshold", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 10

signal id: receiver_route_coverage_matchup
research priority: medium
causal channel: route_alignment_coverage_interaction_changes_targets_and_efficiency
correlation group: matchup_interaction

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: receiver_route_coverage_matchup
research priority: medium
causal channel: route_alignment_coverage_interaction_changes_targets_and_efficiency
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: matchup_interaction
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: no_assignment_claim_without_identity
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "matchup_interaction_ablation", "receiver_archetype_cohorts", "defender_identity_coverage", "season_stability" ]

Record 11

signal id: rushing_box_and_tackle_environment
research priority: medium
causal channel: box_and_tackle_context_changes_rush_efficiency_and_tails
correlation group: matchup_interaction

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: rushing_box_and_tackle_environment
research priority: medium
causal channel: box_and_tackle_context_changes_rush_efficiency_and_tails
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: matchup_interaction
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: separate_team_fallback
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "expected_rush_ablation", "box_count_cohorts", "explosive_tail_calibration", "season_stability" ]

Record 12

signal id: depth_competition_and_role_entropy
research priority: high
causal channel: role_concentration_predicts_stability_and_breakout_paths
correlation group: role_stability

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: depth_competition_and_role_entropy
research priority: high
causal channel: role_concentration_predicts_stability_and_breakout_paths
source ids: Inspect source ids (4)
[ "nflverse_depth_charts", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "nflverse_play_by_play", "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "waiver", "dynasty_value" ]
correlation group: role_stability
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: unknown_increases_entropy
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "role_change_detection", "breakout_cohorts", "injury_interaction", "ablation" ]

Record 13

signal id: weather_venue_and_surface
research priority: high_when_material
causal channel: material_conditions_change_play_calling_kicking_and_variance
correlation group: game_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: weather_venue_and_surface
research priority: high_when_material
causal channel: material_conditions_change_play_calling_kicking_and_variance
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nws_forecast_vintages", "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: game_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: no_generic_penalty
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "forecast_not_observation", "outdoor_roof_cohorts", "nonlinear_thresholds", "calibration", "market_residual_ablation" ]

Record 14

signal id: rest_travel_altitude_body_clock
research priority: medium
causal channel: schedule_burden_may_shift_team_distribution
correlation group: game_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: rest_travel_altitude_body_clock
research priority: medium
causal channel: schedule_burden_may_shift_team_distribution
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "team_game", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: game_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: deterministic_schedule_features_only
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "team_fixed_effects", "schedule_cohorts", "market_residual_ablation", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 15

signal id: schedule_strength_distribution
research priority: high
causal channel: future_path_is_distribution_not_static_rank
correlation group: schedule_path

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: schedule_strength_distribution
research priority: high
causal channel: future_path_is_distribution_not_static_rank
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "nflverse_play_by_play", "official_nfl_injury_reports" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "rest_of_season", "season_team_strength", "dynasty_value", "survivor" ]
correlation group: schedule_path
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: propagate_future_uncertainty
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "rolling_schedule_reforecast", "opponent_strength_ablation", "future_information_guard", "calibration" ]

Record 16

signal id: human_adp_and_acquisition_cost
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: human_selection_estimates_cost_not_football_output
correlation group: market_expectation

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: human_adp_and_acquisition_cost
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: human_selection_estimates_cost_not_football_output
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "fantasyfootballcalculator_adp", "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "draft_arrival", "draft_decision", "market_value" ]
correlation group: market_expectation
initial state: production_context
missingness policy: unavailable_removes_timing
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "arrival_calibration", "format_match", "sample_size", "human_only_sample", "source_attribution" ]

Record 17

signal id: market_probability_and_total_baseline
research priority: critical_baseline
causal channel: market_is_external_baseline_and_residual_target
correlation group: market_expectation

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: market_probability_and_total_baseline
research priority: critical_baseline
causal channel: market_is_external_baseline_and_residual_target
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "historical_market_lines_research" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "team_game", "survivor", "player_week" ]
correlation group: market_expectation
initial state: shadow_candidate
missingness policy: retain_nonmarket_baseline
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "no_vig", "opening_current_closing_separation", "market_only_baseline", "residual_lift", "shared_information_ablation" ]

Record 18

signal id: exact_league_scoring_roster_and_draft_context
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: league_rules_translate_scenarios_into_decision_utility
correlation group: league_context

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: exact_league_scoring_roster_and_draft_context
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: league_rules_translate_scenarios_into_decision_utility
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (5)
[ "draft_decision", "lineup", "waiver", "trade", "title_probability" ]
correlation group: league_context
initial state: production_context
missingness policy: fail_closed_no_defaults
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "scoring_parity", "legal_lineup", "draft_geometry", "provider_identity", "human_agent_parity" ]

Record 19

signal id: public_draft_transaction_and_manager_market
research priority: high_context
causal channel: observed_behavior_estimates_market_context_not_talent
correlation group: behavioral_market

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: public_draft_transaction_and_manager_market
research priority: high_context
causal channel: observed_behavior_estimates_market_context_not_talent
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "draft_arrival", "trade_fit", "waiver", "manager_context" ]
correlation group: behavioral_market
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: retain_sample_and_unknown_outcome
required tests: Inspect required tests (6)
[ "format_isolation", "time_decay", "manager_shrinkage", "privacy", "selection_bias", "outcome_calibration" ]

Record 20

signal id: college_to_nfl_translation
research priority: high_for_rookies
causal channel: college_context_forms_rookie_prior
correlation group: prospect_prior

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: college_to_nfl_translation
research priority: high_for_rookies
causal channel: college_context_forms_rookie_prior
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "collegefootballdata_api", "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "rookie_projection", "dynasty_value", "career_value" ]
correlation group: prospect_prior
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: retain_missing_by_position
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "draft_year_holdout", "position_cohorts", "draft_capital_baseline", "calibration", "feature_family_ablation" ]

Dataset details

Source date: Source date unavailable

Research priorities, proposed mechanisms, targets, correlation groups and required tests. Hypotheses are not confirmed effects.

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JSON bracket paths; [] means every array element. CSV uses concrete zero-based indices. Types are observed, not a promise that future fields cannot change. null is unavailable; empty array/object means an empty collection. Zero is preserved as a measured or supplied numeric value. Source-native units and scoring. Consult metric-definitions for formulas; ambiguous units remain unspecified, never inferred.

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0386cb6eb636de47585cb69776b53b2be72b32268e9842a0ff0a8ef5bc8a902d

Published observations, approved source-labeled aggregates, research and definitions are provided within each dataset's stated scope. Read each record's source, period, scoring and availability. Research visibility does not promote a model into public rankings. Missing means unavailable, never zero. No account records or provider write access.

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Candidate signal families

332 data points · 10 fields

Source date unavailable

This view as JSON Download this page CSV ↓

This-page CSV uses field path, type and value columns, including source context. Full dataset downloads are above.

21 matches · 1–20 shown. Each record keeps all its stats together. Filters are saved in this page’s address.

Record 1

signal id: identity_and_development_curve
research priority: high
causal channel: slow_prior_constrains_development_and_durability
correlation group: slow_player_prior

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: identity_and_development_curve
research priority: high
causal channel: slow_prior_constrains_development_and_durability
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "collegefootballdata_api" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "career_value" ]
correlation group: slow_player_prior
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: unknown_with_coverage
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "rolling_origin", "rookie_veteran_cohorts", "position_cohorts", "ablation", "identity_leakage" ]

Record 2

signal id: active_and_workload_probability
research priority: critical
causal channel: availability_precedes_opportunity_and_efficiency
correlation group: availability

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: active_and_workload_probability
research priority: critical
causal channel: availability_precedes_opportunity_and_efficiency
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "official_nfl_injury_reports", "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "nflverse_depth_charts" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: availability
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: silence_not_healthy
required tests: Inspect required tests (6)
[ "brier", "log_loss", "calibration", "injury_status_cohorts", "late_news_cutoff", "ablation" ]

Record 3

signal id: snap_route_touch_opportunity
research priority: critical
causal channel: direct_opportunity_precedes_counting_stats
correlation group: player_opportunity

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: snap_route_touch_opportunity
research priority: critical
causal channel: direct_opportunity_precedes_counting_stats
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "ffopportunity_expected_points" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season" ]
correlation group: player_opportunity
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: explicit_imputation_and_coverage
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "temporal_holdout", "opportunity_cohorts", "conversion_residual_ablation", "calibration", "correlated_family_ablation" ]

Record 4

signal id: high_value_role
research priority: high
causal channel: touch_context_changes_td_and_reception_opportunity
correlation group: player_opportunity

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: high_value_role
research priority: high
causal channel: touch_context_changes_td_and_reception_opportunity
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "ffopportunity_expected_points" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season" ]
correlation group: player_opportunity
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: absent_not_zero
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "ablation", "role_change_cohorts", "touchdown_calibration", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 5

signal id: expected_points_and_conversion_residual
research priority: high
causal channel: opportunity_quality_separates_volume_from_conversion
correlation group: expected_production

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: expected_points_and_conversion_residual
research priority: high
causal channel: opportunity_quality_separates_volume_from_conversion
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "ffopportunity_expected_points", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "dynasty_value" ]
correlation group: expected_production
initial state: shadow_candidate
missingness policy: absent_not_zero
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "out_of_sample_residual_persistence", "regression_to_mean", "position_cohorts", "ablation" ]

Record 6

signal id: quarterback_quality_and_behavior
research priority: critical
causal channel: qb_state_propagates_to_team_and_teammates
correlation group: quarterback_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: quarterback_quality_and_behavior
research priority: critical
causal channel: qb_state_propagates_to_team_and_teammates
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "official_nfl_injury_reports" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: quarterback_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: probability_weight_starter_backup
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "qb_start_cohorts", "pressure_cohorts", "backup_delta_ablation", "game_probability_calibration" ]

Record 7

signal id: offensive_line_and_pressure_environment
research priority: high
causal channel: protection_changes_pressure_sack_rush_and_drive_outcomes
correlation group: line_matchup

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: offensive_line_and_pressure_environment
research priority: high
causal channel: protection_changes_pressure_sack_rush_and_drive_outcomes
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "nflverse_ftn_charting" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: line_matchup
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: fallback_proxy_lower_confidence
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "interaction_ablation", "pressure_sack_decomposition", "lineup_change_cohorts", "coverage_stability" ]

Record 8

signal id: team_efficiency_pace_and_play_calling
research priority: critical
causal channel: team_efficiency_and_pace_create_opportunity_distribution
correlation group: team_efficiency

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: team_efficiency_pace_and_play_calling
research priority: critical
causal channel: team_efficiency_and_pace_create_opportunity_distribution
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "team_game", "player_week", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: team_efficiency
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: shrink_to_declared_prior
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "opponent_adjustment", "rolling_origin", "early_season_cohorts", "market_baseline_comparison", "ablation" ]

Record 9

signal id: personnel_motion_and_scheme
research priority: medium
causal channel: tactics_change_leverage_and_role_conditionally
correlation group: scheme_tactics

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: personnel_motion_and_scheme
research priority: medium
causal channel: tactics_change_leverage_and_role_conditionally
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: scheme_tactics
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: consistent_coverage_only
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "concept_matchup_ablation", "coordinator_change_cohorts", "coverage_threshold", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 10

signal id: receiver_route_coverage_matchup
research priority: medium
causal channel: route_alignment_coverage_interaction_changes_targets_and_efficiency
correlation group: matchup_interaction

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: receiver_route_coverage_matchup
research priority: medium
causal channel: route_alignment_coverage_interaction_changes_targets_and_efficiency
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: matchup_interaction
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: no_assignment_claim_without_identity
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "matchup_interaction_ablation", "receiver_archetype_cohorts", "defender_identity_coverage", "season_stability" ]

Record 11

signal id: rushing_box_and_tackle_environment
research priority: medium
causal channel: box_and_tackle_context_changes_rush_efficiency_and_tails
correlation group: matchup_interaction

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: rushing_box_and_tackle_environment
research priority: medium
causal channel: box_and_tackle_context_changes_rush_efficiency_and_tails
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_next_gen_weekly", "nflverse_ftn_charting", "nflverse_play_by_play" ]
targets: Inspect targets (2)
[ "player_week", "team_game" ]
correlation group: matchup_interaction
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: separate_team_fallback
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "expected_rush_ablation", "box_count_cohorts", "explosive_tail_calibration", "season_stability" ]

Record 12

signal id: depth_competition_and_role_entropy
research priority: high
causal channel: role_concentration_predicts_stability_and_breakout_paths
correlation group: role_stability

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: depth_competition_and_role_entropy
research priority: high
causal channel: role_concentration_predicts_stability_and_breakout_paths
source ids: Inspect source ids (4)
[ "nflverse_depth_charts", "nflverse_snap_counts_advanced", "nflverse_play_by_play", "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "player_week", "rest_of_season", "waiver", "dynasty_value" ]
correlation group: role_stability
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: unknown_increases_entropy
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "role_change_detection", "breakout_cohorts", "injury_interaction", "ablation" ]

Record 13

signal id: weather_venue_and_surface
research priority: high_when_material
causal channel: material_conditions_change_play_calling_kicking_and_variance
correlation group: game_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: weather_venue_and_surface
research priority: high_when_material
causal channel: material_conditions_change_play_calling_kicking_and_variance
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "nws_forecast_vintages", "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "player_week", "team_game", "survivor" ]
correlation group: game_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: no_generic_penalty
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "forecast_not_observation", "outdoor_roof_cohorts", "nonlinear_thresholds", "calibration", "market_residual_ablation" ]

Record 14

signal id: rest_travel_altitude_body_clock
research priority: medium
causal channel: schedule_burden_may_shift_team_distribution
correlation group: game_environment

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: rest_travel_altitude_body_clock
research priority: medium
causal channel: schedule_burden_may_shift_team_distribution
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "team_game", "season_team_strength", "survivor" ]
correlation group: game_environment
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: deterministic_schedule_features_only
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "team_fixed_effects", "schedule_cohorts", "market_residual_ablation", "multiple_testing_control" ]

Record 15

signal id: schedule_strength_distribution
research priority: high
causal channel: future_path_is_distribution_not_static_rank
correlation group: schedule_path

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: schedule_strength_distribution
research priority: high
causal channel: future_path_is_distribution_not_static_rank
source ids: Inspect source ids (3)
[ "nflverse_rosters_schedules", "nflverse_play_by_play", "official_nfl_injury_reports" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "rest_of_season", "season_team_strength", "dynasty_value", "survivor" ]
correlation group: schedule_path
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: propagate_future_uncertainty
required tests: Inspect required tests (4)
[ "rolling_schedule_reforecast", "opponent_strength_ablation", "future_information_guard", "calibration" ]

Record 16

signal id: human_adp_and_acquisition_cost
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: human_selection_estimates_cost_not_football_output
correlation group: market_expectation

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: human_adp_and_acquisition_cost
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: human_selection_estimates_cost_not_football_output
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "fantasyfootballcalculator_adp", "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "draft_arrival", "draft_decision", "market_value" ]
correlation group: market_expectation
initial state: production_context
missingness policy: unavailable_removes_timing
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "arrival_calibration", "format_match", "sample_size", "human_only_sample", "source_attribution" ]

Record 17

signal id: market_probability_and_total_baseline
research priority: critical_baseline
causal channel: market_is_external_baseline_and_residual_target
correlation group: market_expectation

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: market_probability_and_total_baseline
research priority: critical_baseline
causal channel: market_is_external_baseline_and_residual_target
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "historical_market_lines_research" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "team_game", "survivor", "player_week" ]
correlation group: market_expectation
initial state: shadow_candidate
missingness policy: retain_nonmarket_baseline
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "no_vig", "opening_current_closing_separation", "market_only_baseline", "residual_lift", "shared_information_ablation" ]

Record 18

signal id: exact_league_scoring_roster_and_draft_context
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: league_rules_translate_scenarios_into_decision_utility
correlation group: league_context

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: exact_league_scoring_roster_and_draft_context
research priority: critical_context
causal channel: league_rules_translate_scenarios_into_decision_utility
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (5)
[ "draft_decision", "lineup", "waiver", "trade", "title_probability" ]
correlation group: league_context
initial state: production_context
missingness policy: fail_closed_no_defaults
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "scoring_parity", "legal_lineup", "draft_geometry", "provider_identity", "human_agent_parity" ]

Record 19

signal id: public_draft_transaction_and_manager_market
research priority: high_context
causal channel: observed_behavior_estimates_market_context_not_talent
correlation group: behavioral_market

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: public_draft_transaction_and_manager_market
research priority: high_context
causal channel: observed_behavior_estimates_market_context_not_talent
source ids: Inspect source ids (1)
[ "sleeper_public_context" ]
targets: Inspect targets (4)
[ "draft_arrival", "trade_fit", "waiver", "manager_context" ]
correlation group: behavioral_market
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: retain_sample_and_unknown_outcome
required tests: Inspect required tests (6)
[ "format_isolation", "time_decay", "manager_shrinkage", "privacy", "selection_bias", "outcome_calibration" ]

Record 20

signal id: college_to_nfl_translation
research priority: high_for_rookies
causal channel: college_context_forms_rookie_prior
correlation group: prospect_prior

Full record · 9 fields

signal id: college_to_nfl_translation
research priority: high_for_rookies
causal channel: college_context_forms_rookie_prior
source ids: Inspect source ids (2)
[ "collegefootballdata_api", "nflverse_rosters_schedules" ]
targets: Inspect targets (3)
[ "rookie_projection", "dynasty_value", "career_value" ]
correlation group: prospect_prior
initial state: research_candidate
missingness policy: retain_missing_by_position
required tests: Inspect required tests (5)
[ "draft_year_holdout", "position_cohorts", "draft_capital_baseline", "calibration", "feature_family_ablation" ]

Dataset details

Source date: Source date unavailable

Research priorities, proposed mechanisms, targets, correlation groups and required tests. Hypotheses are not confirmed effects.

Original capture date; opening or downloading does not refresh the source. Per-record timestamps take precedence. Definitions may describe unavailable inputs.

How to read and verify this data

0386cb6eb636de47585cb69776b53b2be72b32268e9842a0ff0a8ef5bc8a902d