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Forecast Path
Explore a player’s recorded history, then compare your own assumptions with recorded rates. Save a call and check a completed season.
QB · Passing yards
Dak Prescott
Saved statistics through 10/10/2026. 2026 is a partial saved season; newer games may be missing. Rates use recorded appearances, not calendar weeks.
2026 recorded total · yards
1,381
Per recorded appearance · yards
276.2
Rate change from 2025
+3.15%
Read the season evidence
| Season | Total (yards) | Per appearance | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2,860 | 238.33 yards/appearance | 12/12 recorded appearances |
| 2023 | 4,516 | 265.65 yards/appearance | 17/17 recorded appearances |
| 2024 | 1,978 | 247.25 yards/appearance | 8/8 recorded appearances |
| 2025 | 4,552 | 267.76 yards/appearance | 17/17 recorded appearances |
| 2026 · partial season | 1,381 | 276.2 yards/appearance | 5/5 recorded appearances |
Editable assumptions
Your plan · saved on this device
Try a rate and an appearance plan. These controls describe your assumptions; they do not estimate injuries, retirement or a player’s chance of success.
0% comes from 2025. The observed-change preset is rounded and capped at ±50%.
Appearance counts are your plan, not a verified remaining schedule. For a partial season, the count starts at season capacity minus saved appearances. The season outlook begins at that saved snapshot; newer unrecorded games are not added as actuals. Update your assumed future appearances for byes or absences.
Scenario output · your assumptions
2026 season scenario
4,695.4
yards
1,381 recorded in the saved season + 3,314.4 from 12 assumed future appearances. Flat latest pace on the same appearance plan: 4,695.4.
Compare your season call
Save the 2026 season total, then compare its absolute error with the same appearance plan at the latest recorded pace.
Completed-season checks are retrospective practice using corrected history. This browser commitment is not a verified pregame timestamp or ranked entry.
Your return journey
Forecast notebook
0 calls · 0 checked player-season-stat contexts · 0 unresolved contexts. Latest 20 calls on this browser.
Check your first forecast
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Explore three players
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Check three outcome seasons
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Progress counts a context once using its earliest checked call. Repeating the same player, season and statistic adds no new milestone. These are personal practice goals.
Make a season call to start your notebook. You can explore scenarios before saving anything.
How the path is calculated
Your rate = (2026 recorded rate × its selected weight + the adjacent prior rate × remaining weight) × your next-period adjustment. Additional production = that rate × your assumed appearances. Each later season also compounds your annual adjustment.
History is regular-season corrected retained data. The latest five available season rows are shown, with gaps and incomplete metrics preserved. Three-season totals are scenarios for production, not age curves, injury forecasts, retirement probabilities, dynasty value or a causal measure of impact.
A percentage trend is shown only when the prior rate is positive. Negative yardage stays signed in totals and comparisons. The current weekly forecast keeps the existing DaD admission rules. This workspace does not promote a model or change official rankings.
DraftADynasty verified stats vault. Results, coaches and player stats: nflverse. Offensive player fields cross-checked against ESPN; game footage: NFL.com. Missing or disputed fields are withheld.