Experimental · Frozen source

NFL game forecasts & backtests

272 scheduled games, 32 team outlooks, probability calibration, score errors and player-production experiments. Frozen preseason research; does not change public rankings.

Source date: Sep 5, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

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1,562 matches · 251–300 shown. Every field remains available in the full download. Filters are saved in this page’s address.

Observed field dictionary
Field path	Observed types
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["calibration"][]["lower"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["calibration"][]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["calibration"][]["observed"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["calibration"][]["predicted"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["calibration"][]["upper"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["expectedCalibrationError"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["logLoss"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["probability"]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMargin"]["caveat"]	string
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMargin"]["lineMae"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMargin"]["modelMae"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMargin"]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["caveat"]	string
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["accuracy"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["brier"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["calibration"][]["lower"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["calibration"][]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["calibration"][]["observed"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["calibration"][]["predicted"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["calibration"][]["upper"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["expectedCalibrationError"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["logLoss"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["model"]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["accuracy"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["brier"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["calibration"][]["lower"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["calibration"][]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["calibration"][]["observed"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["calibration"][]["predicted"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["calibration"][]["upper"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["expectedCalibrationError"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["logLoss"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["noVigMarket"]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["blocks"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["estimate"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["lower95"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["lowerIsBetter"]	boolean
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["replicates"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["unit"]	string
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveMoneyline"]["pairedBrierDifference"]["upper95"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveTotal"]["caveat"]	string
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveTotal"]["lineMae"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveTotal"]["modelMae"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["retrospectiveTotal"]["n"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["ties"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["total"]["intervalCoverage"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["total"]["intervalHalfWidth"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["total"]["mae"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["total"]["nominalCoverage"]	number
$["backtest"]["seasons"]["2025"]["total"]["rmse"]	number

How to read and verify this data

JSON bracket paths; [] means every array element. CSV uses concrete zero-based indices. Types are observed, not a promise that future fields cannot change. null is unavailable; empty array/object means an empty collection. Zero is preserved as a measured or supplied numeric value. Source-native units and scoring. Consult metric-definitions for formulas; ambiguous units remain unspecified, never inferred.

sha256 of UTF-8 JSON.stringify(data), excluding this envelope. Source receipt hashes remain inside data. CSV prefixes formula-looking text with an apostrophe; numeric signs are preserved. JSON keeps original strings.

ecbde32e2751aef21c0bf12e3dfcd6ef10021f583afb03d6db2f3bce002f9316

Original observations, research and definitions are provided in full. Read each record's source, period, scoring and availability. Research visibility does not promote a model into public rankings. Missing means unavailable, never zero. No account records or provider write access.

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